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China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association, vice president of literature on March 21, said that the current aluminum smelting industry has encountered unprecedented difficulties in the loss of the entire industry, electrolytic aluminum industry overcapacity still has an expanding trend, it is recommended that the state take relevant measures to resolve excess capacity.
The literature army pointed out that in 2012, the annual output of electrolytic aluminum in China was 20.27 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 12.2%, while the capacity utilization rate was only about 85%. The average price of LME three-month aluminum in the whole year was 2,049 US dollars per ton, but the cost reached 2,149 US dollars per ton, making the industry fall into a loss.
According to the statistics of the association, in 2012, there were 89 loss-making enterprises among 281 aluminum smelting enterprises above designated size, with a loss of 31.7%, and 28 loss-making enterprises. The losses of aluminum smelting and loss-making enterprises amounted to 11.35 billion yuan, accounting for 35.4% of the losses of loss-making enterprises in non-ferrous metal enterprises above designated size.
However, the current excess capacity in the electrolytic aluminum industry is still expanding. Last year, the aluminum smelting industry completed fixed assets investment of 85.61 billion yuan, an increase of 24.9% year-on-year; non-ferrous metal smelting industry completed fixed asset investment of 208.42 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.0%. The aluminum smelting industry completed 41.1% of the fixed-metal investment in the smelting industry, which is 30% higher than the nonferrous metal smelting industry. In the case of sharp declines in investment in smelting industries such as copper, lead and zinc, the investment in the aluminum smelting industry, which is very difficult to manage, remains relatively high.
For this reason, the literature army suggested that the state should maintain total control over electrolytic aluminum production capacity, make reasonable plans, and strengthen guidance. The first is to strictly control the total amount in accordance with the objectives set out in the Twelfth Five-Year Development Plan; the second is to determine and control a reasonable scale of development based on the study of the energy and resource conditions in various regions of the western region; and the third is to research and formulate an organic combination of capacity increase in the western region and withdrawal of capacity in the eastern and central regions. mechanism. It is recommended that the State establish a special project to provide support and compensation for the withdrawal of production capacity in the East and Central China, or to provide policy support to companies that have exited the market after they have been eliminated.
The literature army also pointed out that at present, there is still a large gap between China's per capita aluminum consumption in the United States and countries such as the United States. In 2006, China’s total aluminum stock was only 20% of that of the United States. Based on data accumulated over these years, it was estimated that it would reach the United States in 2012. 30% but still lower. At the same time, the current aluminum price is at a low level, which is the best time for China to expand the use of aluminum in lighter transportation vehicles and promote the use of aluminum substitutes for copper in the power industry. It is therefore suggested that the country should further promote aluminum consumption.
In addition, based on meeting the domestic demand, the electrolytic aluminum enterprises will implement differential electricity prices in accordance with the industry access requirements. We will give reasonable electricity prices to electrolytic aluminum projects that meet the industry's access requirements, impose punitive electricity prices for companies that do not meet the requirements, increase the elimination of backward production capacity, and ensure that there are pressures to maintain and eliminate congestion.