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"In 2012, there will be no major loosening of the prudent monetary policy, and there will be no major changes in corporate funds." At the "2011 China Industrial Economic Operation Autumn Reporting Conference" held by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology Huang Libin, deputy director of the bureau, said. At the end of the year, the market and institutions have made predictions on the key points and rhythms of macroeconomic regulation and control next year. At present, under the background of the slowdown of domestic inflationary pressures, the international impact of the European debt crisis and the slowdown of the US economic recovery will become the future one. The important pressure of China's economy in the year. Does the primary task of macroeconomic regulation and control return to “stable economy� In the context of declining export demand and increasing domestic demand constraints, a prudent monetary policy will continue to be implemented. The macroeconomic regulation and control policy in 2012 is at a crossroads. Next year's industrial growth is expected to slow down. "China's Industrial Economic Operation Autumn Report" predicts that China's industrial growth rate may continue to fall back to a moderate growth space next year. "Stable growth, restructuring, transfer, and integration" will become industrial next year. The main theme of economic operation. "The impact of the slowdown in world economic growth on the decline in China's export demand for products, as well as the domestic demand for tighter domestic prices, will lead to a slowdown in industrial growth in the fourth quarter of this year and next year. It is expected that China's above-scale industries will increase in 2012. The value growth rate is 1% to 2% lower than this year." Huang Libin said. According to the data released by the National Bureau of Statistics, in the first three quarters of this year, the loss of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 51.7% year-on-year, up by 23.9% and 10.1% respectively over the first quarter and the first half. "At present, the loss of industrial enterprises above designated size has risen sharply, which is worth noting." Huang Libin said. The situation of SMEs, especially small and micro enterprises, is even more serious. The operating conditions of the 38,000 small and micro-industrial enterprises sampled by the Statistics Bureau show that only 15.5% of small and micro enterprises can obtain bank loans. In terms of accounts receivable, the proportion of small and micro enterprises' main business income from January to August reached 21.6%, which was 8.7% higher than the above-scale industries. The above report believes that in terms of the development environment of small and medium-sized enterprises under the tightening monetary policy, the development of small and medium-sized enterprises, especially small and micro enterprises, should be “more and less,†and the focus should be on structural tax reduction for small and micro enterprises. Let profit, standardize tax collection and management, financial services and other aspects. Stabilizing the currency and adjusting the finance In fact, regarding the next step of macroeconomic policy, in the policy research community, "stable currency, fiscal adjustment" is forming some kind of consensus. Li Yang, deputy dean of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, said at the recent annual meeting of Chinese enterprises' competitiveness that in terms of fiscal policy, the state has appropriately increased fiscal policy and adopted various measures to reduce taxes. In particular, after the Zhejiang debt crisis, the fiscal side increased spending on the one hand, and reduced income on the other. Xia Bin, a member of the central bank's monetary policy committee, recently said in an interview with the media that China's foreign demand is expected to be poor in view of the economic situation in the US and Europe next year. The possibility of a trade deficit may not be ruled out. To maintain steady economic growth, China should adopt A more active fiscal policy to stimulate domestic demand. In his view, the fiscal policy should be more active in stimulating domestic demand. For example, speeding up structural adjustment through tax reform and continuously raising wages to stimulate private consumption are all directions that can be worked hard. "The current economic operation still has large uncertainties. Although the economic growth rate has moderately slowed down and inflation expectations have declined, this trend of increasing the decline is worthy of attention. To prevent large fluctuations in the economy, we must grasp the policy. The actuality and intensity of the introduction, try to avoid the impact of the policy superposition on the economy," Huang Libin said.